Synthetic catastrophe event catalogues

Simulate the floods that haven't happened yet.

Go-Stochastics builds stochastic event catalogues — starting with 15,000 synthetic El Niño years and the riverine floods they trigger across Peru — so you can price the extremes before they arrive. Real-time hail footprints complete the picture.

15,000
synthetic El Niño years
12 m
flood hazard resolution
RP5–RP1000
8 return periods
SYNTHETIC FLOOD EVENT · PIURA, PERUEL NIÑO
Flood hazard layer over Piura and Catacaos, northern Peru
Flood hazard layer from the El Niño synthetic catalogue · Piura, northern Peru.
DELIVERED AS GeoTIFF.vrtShapefileGeoPackageCSV per locationPDF method note

What we deliver

Three product lines. One scientific standard.

Hail hazard

Real-time event footprints and global probability layers for property, motor and agriculture portfolios.

  • Real-time events — by region€1,800
  • Real-time events — worldwide€2,500
  • Global hail probability (vector)€1,740
  • Hail probability — by country€479
Explore hail data →

Custom studies

Scoped research for perils and places where off-the-shelf models fall short.

  • Landslides
  • Glacial lake outburst floods
  • Permafrost thaw
  • Earthquakes
  • Tropical cyclones
  • Air quality — NO₂, PM2.5, PM10, SO₂
  • Piping

Priced per project after a scoping call.

Book a scoping call →

Featured dataset · El Niño synthetic flood events

El Niño Synthetic (Stochastic) Flood Event Catalogue: Peru

Up to 15,000 stochastic riverine flood events simulated under El Niño and Super El Niño rainfall conditions — delivered as 12 m GeoTIFF hazard layers for eight return periods, from RP5 to RP1000. We can also run your portfolio against the catalogue in catastrophe modelling software.

15,000
simulated El Niño years
12 m
flood hazard resolution
RP5–RP1000
8 return periods
Riverine flood hazard layer along the rivers of Lima, Peru
Riverine flood hazard layer · Lima, Peru.

Event library

Past footprints, ready to order.

Need an event that isn't listed? →
Hail footprint map, Colorado Springs hailstorm
21 JUN 2023 · COLORADO, US

Colorado Springs hailstorm

Footprint · hail
€149Request
Hail footprint map, Little Rock hailstorm
16 JUN 2023 · ARKANSAS, US

Little Rock hailstorm

Footprint · hail
€262Request
Hail footprint map, Hutchinson hailstorm
16 JUL · KANSAS, US

Hutchinson hailstorm

Footprint · hail
€149Request
Hail footprint map, Cincinnati hailstorm
17 JUL 2023 · OHIO, US

Cincinnati hailstorm

Footprint · hail
€149Request
Hail footprint map, Kansas City hailstorm
17 JUL · MISSOURI–KANSAS, US

Kansas City hailstorm

Footprint · hail
On requestRequest
Hail footprint map, Springfield hailstorm
17 JUL · MISSOURI, US

Springfield hailstorm

Footprint · hail
On requestRequest
Hail footprint map, Rapid City hailstorm
18 JUL · SOUTH DAKOTA, US

Rapid City hailstorm

Footprint · hail
On requestRequest

Hail footprints · How it works

From storm to spreadsheet in 72 hours.

Alongside our synthetic catalogues, we map real hailstorms as they happen: a footprint for every significant event, delivered within 72 hours.

Explore hail data →

HAIL EVENT FOOTPRINTSREAL EVENTS
Hail footprint, Colorado Springs, 21 June 2023Hail footprint, Little RockHail footprint, Rapid CityHail footprint, Springfield
Colorado Springs · Little Rock · Rapid City · Springfield. Basemap: Google Maps.
01

Event detected

We track convective and flood events worldwide from radar, satellite, ERA5 reanalysis and CHIRPS rainfall data.

02

Footprint modelled

Hazard intensity is mapped on a 10 km grid and reviewed by our scientists before release.

03

Delivered to your team

Files arrive in your format with a short method note you can hand straight to underwriting.

Scientific team

The people who build the data.

Gary Osmaston

Gary Osmaston

PhD, Atmospheric Sciences · University of Colorado BoulderLinkedIn · Google Scholar
Lauren Montero

Lauren Montero

PhD, Meteorology · Atmospheric Department, Ghent University (Belgium)LinkedIn
Wai Long Ng Cutipa

Wai Long Ng Cutipa

MSc · INGEMMET, PeruGoogle Scholar
Álvaro Fernández

Álvaro Fernández

PhD in Climate Hazards · Flood analystGoogle Scholar

Request a quote

Tell us what you need to price.

Share your peril, region and timeline. A scientist — not a sales rep — replies as soon as possible.

Go-Stochastics is a service provided by GEOUMA Sciences.